Why this matters
Most “menu matrix” templates assume you already nailed portion cost. We upstream that work with the Recipe Cost Card, then this matrix sorts the mix so you can price, feature, or kill items with confidence.
- Real inputs: Portion Cost (from your cost card) + Price + Units sold in period.
- Real outputs: Contribution Margin (CM), 80/20 popularity flag, quadrant, and reprice sensitivity.
- Storyboard: Stars (feature), Plowhorses (light reprice/portion), Puzzles (re-plate/rename), Dogs (de-feature).
Tip: Run separate matrices by daypart if your PMIX swings. Lunch “Stars” can be dinner “Puzzles.”
What you need (inputs)
Item dataCategory • Item name • Price
Portion CostFrom the Recipe Cost Card (uses yields + portion size)
PopularityUnits sold for the defined period (week or 4 weeks)
Step-by-step (first run)
- Paste Item, Price, Portion Cost, and Units into the workbook’s MenuItems tab.
- Set the Top % popularity flag (defaults 20%) and CM threshold mode (median recommended).
- Review each item’s Quadrant and the Matrix summary. Note traffic drivers and margin drivers.
- Use the Price Sensitivity control (+$0.25/+$0.50/+$1.00) to preview per-unit margin deltas before changing the printed price.
Interpreting quadrants
- Star (high pop, high CM): Feature, protect throughput, guard quality. Consider small price nudge if demand is inelastic.
- Plowhorse (high pop, low CM): Light price bump, trim garnish, cheaper side, or tweak portion. Don’t shock the regulars.
- Puzzle (low pop, high CM): Re-plate, rename, reposition on the menu, or pair with a traffic driver.
- Dog (low pop, low CM): De-feature, seasonal/limited-time only, or retire.
Price sensitivity tactics
Test small increments ($0.25–$1.00) on Stars and Plowhorses first. Watch units the following period—if volume holds, bank the margin; if it drops, split the difference or add perceived value.
Common traps
- Using AP $/lb to cost cooked items. Fix with a quick Yield / Trim / Cook Loss test.
- Chasing 80/20 strictly. Use it as a flag, then read your brand and guests.
- Pricing from margin only. Check station capacity—don’t create a bottleneck to gain $0.30 CM.
Next steps
- Lock costs with the Recipe Cost Card (allergy-ready fields).
- Fix silent COGS creep with a Yield / Trim / Cook Loss run on top proteins.
- Track weekly health with the Prime Cost Calculator.